Friday, October 3, 2025

Ilan Pappe, Israel On The Brink

 



- This book is so damn good. As in his previous book, A Very Short History of the Israel-Palestine Conflict, Ilan Pappe whacks us with the undeniable truths about Israel’s history and it current genocidal operations in Gaza. (He is an Israeli Professor of History at the Institute of Arab and Islamic Studies and Director of the European Centre for Palestine Studies at the University of Exeter).  

- In this just published short book he utterly demolishes the idea of a two-state solution. ‘In real terms, the two-state solution is a stinking corpse’. He focuses on the very likely future of Israel, and predicts how things will inevitably work out over the next thirty or so years. There will be a State of Palestine, a democratic, multiracial, multi-religious state living in peace with its Arab neighbours. The Jews and Palestinians will have achieved a national harmony as did the South Africans after the end of apartheid. He diligently examines all the complexities of how this will be brought about despite the support for Zionism across the Western world, particularly the United States.    

- The state of Israel has fatal cracks: 1. In 2025, there are two Jewish peoples living in Israel, with practically nothing in common: the ultra-Orthodox, theocratic Jews and the secular Israeli Jews. Both are, however, united by the constant threat of an external enemy.  2. The Subjugation of Israel. Many countries are now boycotting Israel goods. 3. Jews across the world do not universally identify with Zionism, particularly younger people. 4. The Inevitable Economic Slump. Israel is one of the most unequal nations in the world, with 20% living in poverty. 5. Is the Israeli army invincible? No, it’s more like a police force. 6. The State Is Not Working. It is utterly unprepared for the logistical challenges of wars. 7. A New Palestinian Liberation Movement is emerging. Young people are dominant. ‘Instead of pursuing a two-state solution, as the Palestinian Authority has done fruitlessly for several decades, they are seeking a genuine one-state solution…I believe in a future in which everyone is able to live freely, where Israeli Jews and Palestinians work alongside each other for a better future in a decolonized and free Palestine, and obtain it. It won’t be easy but it is possible.’ 

- This new Palestinian national movement must unite Hamas, the old Palestinian Authority, and the new youth guerrilla groups.The old and tired PLA must fundamentally change. It’s now corrupt and often pro-Israel. The Palestinian Youth Movement wants to move beyond the old ideological and political stasis of the PLO. The internet and smartphones are central. Palestinians are now the largest group of users of the internet in the Arab world. The vision is one democratic secular state in Palestine from the river to the sea. Islam is welcome, but it will not be a theocratic state. 

- Many countries across the world in the two decades will move beyond the tepid two-state solution and introduce severe, if not total, sanctions on Israel. Including the USA. All military aid to Israel will be suspended, and the 'new PLO's proposal to conduct, under international supervision, elections for a democratic state over all of historical Palestine' will be fully supported. 

- Pappe digs deep into the likely future of the Jewish settlements in the West Bank. In the one state of Palestine there will be the possibility of peace and social harmony, although the process will be difficult given that so many Palestinians were violently ousted from their homes, farms and workplaces.  

- In the final section of the book, a little fanciful perhaps, but very enjoyable, Pappe travels into the future as an old man and looks back at the journey he's witnessed as the state of Israel transformed into the state of Palestine. 'I managed to scribble something on 31 December 2049; this was a small card I wrote to friends and family:

MAY THE NEXT YEAR BE THE FIRST BORING YEAR IN THE HISTORY OF PALESTINE. 


(I loved this para:

In addition to that, the continued change in the American policy was enhanced by the reformist winds blowing from Tehran. The country was still an Islamic republic, but eased its pressure on the public sphere and, in particular, reformed the policies towards women's dress code in public. So it seems that without American sanctions and military adventurism, a more reformist version of theocratic rule developed, mainly because educated young women were needed to push forward the crippled economy, and because, like everywhere else in the world, a younger generation navigated the tensions between sacred principles and the realities of life more successfully than the previous one.)




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